Archive
Past prediction market analysis from Future Signal.
THURSDAY, MARCH 12, 2026 · 3 stories
Kanye Venue Odds Flip on Concert News
Ye's confirmed SoFi Stadium show causes massive market swing from Allegiant to Soldier Field odds.
Fed Markets Diverge on 2027 Outlook
Rate markets show conflicting signals as inflation concerns clash with growth expectations.
Swift-Kelce Wedding Speculation Drives Volume Surge
Massive trading in wedding location markets as rumors swirl around June 2026 date.
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 11, 2026 · 3 stories
Hegseth Survives Cabinet Shakeup Speculation
Defense Secretary odds crater from 99¢ to 15¢ as market bets against early departure.
Canadian Liberals Surge Toward Majority Territory
Market prices 92¢ chance of Liberal majority as Carney nears 172-seat threshold.
Cardinals Favored for NFL's Worst Record
Arizona jumps to 69¢ favorite after dismal 3-14 season finish.
TUESDAY, MARCH 10, 2026 · 3 stories
Taiwan's Lai Presidency in Crisis
Odds of President Lai Ching-te leaving office by July spike to 93¢ from 9¢.
Fed's March Rate Cut Chances Collapse
Traders slash 2027 Fed rate expectations as inflation fears resurface.
Discord IPO Momentum Building for March
Chat platform's IPO odds jump to 46¢ as confidential SEC filing confirmed.
MONDAY, MARCH 9, 2026 · 3 stories
Live Nation Monopoly Settlement Rocks Ticketmaster
Justice Department settlement ends landmark antitrust trial one week after it began.
Fed Cuts Expected as Inflation Fears Rise
Markets shift to price easier monetary policy while inflation expectations climb above 4%.
IPO Market Cools as Valuations Reset
Major tech companies push back public debut timelines amid uncertain market conditions.
SUNDAY, MARCH 8, 2026 · 3 stories
SGA Just Needs One for History
Thunder star sits 125 games into streak, one away from tying Wilt's 62-year-old record.
Iran Markets Price Dynastic Succession Risk
Mojtaba Khamenei odds jump to 75¢ amid reports of Revolutionary Guard pressure for succession.
Defense Tech IPO Fever Spreads
Anduril odds rocket from 22¢ to 97¢ as markets price in imminent public debut announcement.
SATURDAY, MARCH 7, 2026 · 3 stories
SGA's Historic Streak Powers Market Moon Shot
Traders suddenly see Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shattering Wilt Chamberlain's legendary 20-point streak as almost certain.
Cristiano's Miami Dream Gains Steam in Markets
Inter Miami odds surge 65 cents as Ronaldo's Al Nassr tensions fuel speculation about joining Messi.
Virginia Democrats Positioned for House Sweep
Markets price 90% odds for 10+ seats as redistricting amendment could redraw battlefield.
FRIDAY, MARCH 6, 2026 · 3 stories
Kristi Noem Cabinet Exit Triggers Market Reckoning
Traders sprint to 99¢ on Noem's departure after Trump's shocking DHS chief firing yesterday.
Fed Rate Hawks Shock Markets Higher
Traders flip from dovish to hawkish as Fed funds bets above 3% surge 71 cents.
SGA Record Chase Craters on Streak Math
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 20-point streak odds collapse as traders grasp the astronomical challenge ahead.
THURSDAY, MARCH 5, 2026 · 3 stories
Warsh Nomination Triggers 70¢ Market Swing
Traders rushed to bet on Senate timing after Trump officially submitted Fed Chair nomination.
Fed Rate Bets Collapse on Policy Pivot
Traders abandon aggressive easing expectations as Fed signals neutral stance is near.
Giannoulias Surges as Chicago Frontrunner Emerges
Illinois Secretary of State jumps to heavy favorite status as mayoral speculation intensifies.
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 4, 2026 · 3 stories
Texas Senate Primary Heads to Explosive Runoff
Ken Paxton surges from 6¢ to 96¢ for second place as John Cornyn's odds collapse, setting up bitter May runoff.
Iran Succession Market Prices Mojtaba Power Grab
Khamenei's son jumps to 70¢ as traders bet hereditary succession follows father's assassination in US-Israeli strikes.
Anduril IPO Timeline Suddenly Accelerates to 2027
Defense contractor's odds jump to 89¢ for pre-May 2027 announcement as $60B valuation talks intensify IPO speculation.
TUESDAY, MARCH 3, 2026 · 3 stories
Trump Reverses Course on White House Dinner
Markets react to President's historic decision to attend Correspondents' event after years of boycotts.
Texas Primary Day Delivers Market Surprises
Paxton's margin expectations surge as polling tightens in today's consequential Republican Senate primary.
Fed Hawks Take Control of Rate Expectations
Inflation fears drive dramatic shift as markets price higher rates through 2027.
MONDAY, MARCH 2, 2026 · 3 stories
Anduril IPO Odds Surge on Manufacturing Milestone
Defense tech startup's May IPO odds jump 42¢ to 51¢ as investors bet on accelerated timeline.
Fannie Mae IPO Timeline Craters Across Markets
Multiple Fannie Mae IPO markets crash 60-70¢ as Trump's mortgage bond directive clouds privatization plans.
Turkish Opposition Odds Crash Despite 2028 Timeline
CHP's election odds plummet 72¢ to 26¢ even as polls show the party leading, reflecting judicial pressure concerns.
SUNDAY, MARCH 1, 2026 · 3 stories
Turkey Opposition Explodes from 16¢ to 98¢
Markets price massive CHP victory after traders initially skeptical of Erdogan's grip on power
Iranian Succession Crisis: Who Holds Power?
Markets gyrate wildly as regime structure collapses following Khamenei's assassination in joint US-Israeli strikes
Bears Poised for Cross-Border Stadium Move
Chicago relocation odds flip as Illinois negotiations stall while Indiana fast-tracks $5 billion Hammond deal
SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 28, 2026 · 3 stories
IPO Frenzy Hits Peak with OpenAI Surge
Tech giants race toward public markets as OpenAI IPO odds soar following massive funding announcement.
Fed Rate Cuts Suddenly Look Unlikely
Markets sharply reduce expectations for aggressive Fed easing as officials hint at possible hikes instead.
Texas Primary Tightens as Paxton Fades
Ken Paxton's Senate primary lead narrows in final stretch, with latest polling showing competitive race.
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 27, 2026 · 3 stories
Gorton and Denton Markets Reflect Huge By-Election Upset
Markets priced Green Party crushing Labour stronghold before results declared
Netflix Drops Warner Bros Bid, Paramount Surges
Corporate takeover drama shifts $33B in market bets overnight
Fed Rate Hike Bets Spike Across Curve
Markets price hawkish turn despite January pause