Markets are pricing in Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's likely exit by July 1st as her odds surged from 56¢ to 88¢ on massive volume of 1,873 contracts. Three women filed civil rights complaints alleging Chavez-DeRemer created a hostile work environment and retaliated against staffers.

The timing pressure is building: Trump expressed frustration and disappointment with Chavez-DeRemer and was considering removing her in April. Multiple high-level aides have already been terminated, including her chief of staff and deputy chief. Text messages showed Chavez-DeRemer's husband and father exchanging inappropriate messages with young female staff members. With Trump facing pressure to act decisively, the market's 88¢ pricing suggests a resignation or firing appears imminent.