Archive
Past prediction market analysis from Future Signal.
THURSDAY, MARCH 26, 2026 · 3 stories
Fed Rate Shock: Markets Price Lower-for-Longer
Traders have dramatically reversed Fed rate bets, pricing 97¢ odds on rates staying above 0.75% through April 2027.
Anthropic's Pentagon Bet Surges to 87¢
The AI company's lawsuit against the Defense Department is now priced at 87¢ to succeed, up 18¢ amid favorable court proceedings.
Tiger Woods Locks Up Ryder Cup Captain Odds
The golf legend's chances of captaining the 2027 U.S. Ryder Cup team have jumped to 97¢, pricing in near-certainty despite team's dimmed prospects.
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 25, 2026 · 3 stories
Denmark Election Upends Venstre's Third Place Prospects
Markets recalibrate as Venstre surges to 92¢ while Moderates gain seat momentum in hung parliament.
Fed Rate Markets Flip Hawkish Across 2027
Traders now price higher rates deep into 2027 as oil shock and Iran war complicate Fed's path.
OpenAI IPO Timing Odds Surge on Q4 Signals
Market jumps to 73¢ on reports of Wall Street talks and executive hiring ahead of potential year-end debut.
TUESDAY, MARCH 24, 2026 · 3 stories
Hawkish Fed Swing Shakes Rate Cut Hopes
Fed rate markets flip dramatically as traders price in higher-for-longer policy after recent war-driven inflation concerns.
Anduril IPO Timeline Suddenly in Doubt
Defense tech darling's early 2027 IPO odds crash 73 cents as funding rounds and timelines shift.
Slovenia's Golob Barely Survives Electoral Challenge
Prime Minister's odds jumped 46 cents to 76¢ after narrow parliamentary victory sets up coalition talks.
MONDAY, MARCH 23, 2026 · 3 stories
Anduril's IPO Odds Rocket Past 90¢
The defense tech company's IPO probability exploded from 16¢ to 93¢ as markets price in near-certainty for 2026-2027 announcement.
Slovenia Election Triggers Coalition Scramble
Freedom Movement's narrow 29-seat victory over SDS's 28 seats creates hung parliament requiring kingmaker negotiations.
Fed Rate Cuts Priced Out of 2027
Multiple Fed markets collapsed as traders abandon expectations of aggressive easing amid geopolitical uncertainty.
SUNDAY, MARCH 22, 2026 · 3 stories
Federal Reserve Hawkish Pivot Rocks Rate Markets
Markets dramatically reprice Fed policy expectations as war uncertainty meets persistent inflation concerns.
Wisconsin GOP Surges in Attorney General Market
Republican odds soar from 8¢ to 30¢ as Democratic confidence slides despite historical advantages.
SGA Streak Craters After Historic Near-Miss
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 20-point game odds plummet from 96¢ to 19¢ following Sunday's close call.
SATURDAY, MARCH 21, 2026 · 3 stories
Fed Doves Suddenly Price Hawkish Turn
Rates markets just flipped script as traders now bet the Fed goes higher, not lower.
Oscar Markets Embrace Chalamet's Comeback Story
Betting markets price in redemption arc for Timothée Chalamet after March's Oscar snub.
Shai's Streak Market Crashes After Record
Consecutive games market collapses as traders realize the historic streak won't reach 195 games.
FRIDAY, MARCH 20, 2026 · 3 stories
Fed Rate Cuts Vanish in Oil Shock
Markets flip from aggressive easing to higher-for-longer as Iran war upends monetary policy bets.
Dolphins Embrace Full Tank Mode for 2027
Miami's 75¢ worst-record odds reflect historic teardown as franchise sacrifices 2026 season for future.
Swift-Kelce Wedding Bets Heat Up for Summer
New York wedding location odds rise to 75¢ as summer ceremony details emerge from engagement speculation.