Archive
Past prediction market analysis from Future Signal.
THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 26, 2026 · 3 stories
Anduril IPO Odds Collapse on Recent News
Defense tech giant's IPO timing odds plummet after recent funding developments.
Fed Rate Hike Bets Surge on Inflation
Markets pivot from rate cuts to possible hikes as inflation persists above target.
Trump Cabinet Exit Odds Rise to 90¢
Markets price near-certain Cabinet departure before September amid early administration tensions.
WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 25, 2026 · 3 stories
UFC Chaos: McGregor-Masvidal Odds Crater
Massive odds swings on Conor McGregor's next opponent point to White House event uncertainty
Fed Hawks Crush Rate Cut Bets
Traders demolish 2027 rate cut expectations as inflation concerns mount and Powell's exit looms
Oura IPO Speculation Heats Up
Health tech darling surges to 76¢ as $11 billion valuation and billion-dollar revenue fuel public market talk
TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 24, 2026 · 3 stories
Fed Rate Bets Flip to Hawkish
Markets drastically reprice Federal Reserve expectations as traders abandon hopes for aggressive cuts.
AI Giants Race to IPO First
Anthropic gains edge over OpenAI in the sprint to public markets as both prepare landmark debuts.
Swift Wedding Venue Speculation Heats Up
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce wedding betting sees New York surge as Rhode Island rumors face pushback.
MONDAY, FEBRUARY 23, 2026 · 3 stories
Morgan Wallen Super Bowl Odds Collapse
Country star's halftime show odds crash 77 cents as political controversy emerges around alternative conservative show.
Fed Hawks Soar After Inflation Surprise
Traders dramatically reprice rate expectations higher as Fed officials signal potential hikes amid sticky inflation.
SpaceX IPO Fever Hits Prediction Markets
Traders pile into SpaceX IPO timing bets as Musk confirms 2026 public offering plans for space giant.
SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 22, 2026 · 3 stories
Lutnick Exit Odds Surge on Ethics Storm
Commerce Secretary faces bipartisan calls for resignation as traders price 91¢ odds on his departure before September.
Country Music's Super Bowl Moment Arrives
Morgan Wallen surges to 88¢ favorite for 2027 halftime show as market prices in country music's return to football's biggest stage.
Fed Hike Bets Climb as Doves Retreat
Markets abandon rate cut hopes, pricing 68¢ odds for Fed funds above 3% by January 2027 as hawkish sentiment spreads.
SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 2026 · 3 stories
Fed Rate Cut Bets Collapse as Traders Eye Hawkish Turn
Markets slash odds on 2027 rate cuts, with January above-1.25% falling from 94¢ to 63¢ amid inflation concerns.
Discord IPO Timeline Slips as June Odds Crater
Traders slash Discord June IPO odds from 54¢ to 10¢ despite January confidential filing news.
Denver's Playoff Surge Defies Super Bowl Doubts
Broncos playoff odds jump from 23¢ to 65¢ while maintaining just 9% Super Bowl chances despite #1 seed.
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 20, 2026 · 3 stories
Texas Democratic Primary Implodes After Polling Carnage
Massive odds reversals as markets price in Talarico's surge following CBS controversy
Anduril IPO Fever Hits 58¢ on Manufacturing Milestone
Defense contractor odds spike as investors bet on 2026 public debut timeline
NFL Playoff Race Volatility Mirrors Mid-Season Reality
Colts and Bengals surge as injury reports and schedule strength reshape postseason odds
THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 19, 2026 · 3 stories
Talarico Surges Into Texas Primary Frontrunner Status
Betting markets show massive momentum for the Texas lawmaker after trailing early in the race
Supervolcano Eruption Odds Collapse Despite Recent Activity
Markets dramatically slash 2050 eruption probability as volcanic monitoring shows routine patterns
Bond Betting Swings as Elordi Rumors Heat Up
Jacob Elordi surges while Callum Turner fades amid fresh casting speculation
WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 18, 2026 · 3 stories
Supervolcano Markets Explode on Zero Evidence
Traders price catastrophic eruption odds at 88¢ despite normal volcanic activity worldwide.
Fed Hawks Winning as Rate Hike Bets Surge
Multiple Fed rate markets flip hawkish, pricing higher-for-longer as inflation concerns mount.
Drake's MetLife Stadium Odds Jump Without Tour Announcement
Speculation swirls around potential MetLife Stadium performance as venue market surges to 57¢.
TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 17, 2026 · 3 stories
Alito Retirement Buzz Heats Up
Justice Samuel Alito odds jump to 76¢ on resignation speculation amid Supreme Court transition rumors.
Fed Chair Nomination Stalls
Kevin Warsh confirmation timeline uncertain as Senate concerns block swift approval despite 94¢ odds.
Vance Dominates 2028 Early Polling
VP leads Republican 2028 race at 24¢ while Democrats fragment, pricing in Trump succession dynamics.