Archive
Past prediction market analysis from Future Signal.
THURSDAY, MAY 14, 2026 · 3 stories
Dodgers Prospect Hits MLB Debut Jackpot
Hope's odds explode from 2¢ to 96¢ as traders smell a late-season promotion.
DeSantis Gains as 2028 Field Takes Shape
Florida governor climbs to 75¢ despite Vance frontrunner status and Trump loyalty questions.
Curry's PGA Dream Fades to 3¢
NBA star's tour ambitions crater as contract reality sets in.
WEDNESDAY, MAY 13, 2026 · 3 stories
Traders Price Trump-Putin Russia Meeting
Russia odds spiked from 6¢ to 80¢ after Trump said he'd 'quite possibly' visit Russia in 2026.
DeSantis 2028 Odds Tumble Despite Comeback Push
DeSantis dropped from 73¢ to 49¢ as polling shows him trailing Vance and Rubio in the 2028 GOP race.
New Jersey Redistricting Odds Jump
NJ redistricting climbed from 22¢ to 51¢ as Democratic leaders eye map changes before 2028.
TUESDAY, MAY 12, 2026 · 3 stories
Ossoff Presidential Odds Crash as Senate Race Tightens
Traders bet against Jon Ossoff making presidential bid, as he faces tough reelection fight in Georgia.
Climate Markets Price In Dangerous CO2 Acceleration
Odds of hitting 445 ppm CO2 by 2030 surge as atmospheric concentrations accelerate beyond worst-case scenarios.
Trump AG Turnover Market Heats Up Again
Traders bet on second Attorney General as Trump removes Pam Bondi and names Todd Blanche as acting AG.
MONDAY, MAY 11, 2026 · 3 stories
Climate Reality Shock Drops CO2 Market 27¢
Traders drastically cut odds on extreme CO2 levels as latest atmospheric data suggests current trajectory less severe than feared.
Coachella Headliner Frenzy Reshuffles Desert Odds
Billie Eilish surges 21¢ to 37¢ as festival prediction markets see dramatic moves across multiple potential 2027 headliners.
AGI Timeline Optimism Builds Quietly
Artificial general intelligence markets show modest gains as traders price higher odds for breakthrough AI capabilities by 2027.
SUNDAY, MAY 10, 2026 · 3 stories
Shai's Streak Sets Market Ablaze
Prediction market prices on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's consecutive 20-point streak surge as traders price in NBA history in the making.
Putin Peace Talks Odds Spike
Markets surge on potential Zelenskyy-Putin meeting after Russian president signals openness to third-country talks amid three-day ceasefire.
Verstappen Retirement Fears Cool
The market for Max Verstappen retiring before 2028 drops 10 cents to 41¢ as Formula 1 season extends beyond early struggles.
SATURDAY, MAY 9, 2026 · 3 stories
SGA's Historic Scoring Streak Drives Wild Betting
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's record-breaking run sparks massive swing in consecutive scoring markets
Fed Hawks Take Control of 2027-2028 Markets
Multiple Fed decision markets swing toward higher rates amid persistent inflation concerns
Swift-Kelce Wedding Guest Markets Heat Up
Taylor Swift wedding attendance markets show strong conviction as July date approaches
FRIDAY, MAY 8, 2026 · 3 stories
Coachella Chaos: Olivia Dean Leaps Ahead
Olivia Dean surged from 19¢ to 62¢ in massive Coachella 2027 headliner trading, challenging established frontrunner Dua Lipa.
SGA's Streak Bets Spike on Extension
Traders now price Shai Gilgeous-Alexander reaching 185 consecutive 20-point games at 59¢, up dramatically from 12¢.
UK Politics Sees Farage Factor Surge
Nigel Farage's odds to become next UK PM jumped 8¢ to 12¢ as traders price in political disruption potential.
THURSDAY, MAY 7, 2026 · 3 stories
Fannie Mae IPO Odds Crater
Traders have all but written off a 2026 Fannie Mae IPO announcement, pricing chances at just 4¢.
Wedding Planning Markets Light Up
Travis Kelce's groomsman and bridesmaid markets are seeing heavy speculation as save-the-dates reportedly circulate for July.
Coachella 2027 Headliner Shake-Up
Fred again.. and Olivia Rodrigo are seeing major moves as Coachella speculation heats up for next year's desert festival.
WEDNESDAY, MAY 6, 2026 · 3 stories
Traders Now Price JD Vance Pardon at 51¢
The market implies Trump will pardon his VP, soaring from 8¢ as resignation speculation intensifies.
Harris 2028 Odds Rise Despite Democratic Skepticism
Kamala Harris climbs to 63¢ for the 2028 Democratic nomination, though party insiders remain lukewarm.
Ohio Governor Race Tightens as Democrats Gain
Republicans lose ground in Ohio's gubernatorial contest, with Democratic margin odds falling to 27¢.
TUESDAY, MAY 5, 2026 · 3 stories
March Madness markets implode as season ends
Round of 16 qualifier markets crash to 2¢ as 2027 NCAA tournament concludes, while Duke surges in ACC futures.
Coachella 2027 headliner markets in chaos
No official lineup announced, but Drake and Billie Eilish crash 80+ cents while Daft Punk emerges as betting favorite.
Mahomes comeback odds collapse amid injury concerns
Patrick Mahomes' Comeback Player of the Year odds crash 68 cents as ACL recovery timeline raises Week 1 doubts.
MONDAY, MAY 4, 2026 · 3 stories
Fannie Mae IPO Odds Surge 78¢
Market suddenly prices in near-certain IPO announcement before 2027 amid political developments.
Drake Rockets to Coachella 2027 Favorite
Drake's odds skyrocketed from 14¢ to 97¢, overtaking previous favorites in the headliner race.
Fed Hike Odds Jump on Inflation Fears
January 2028 rate hike probability surges from 9¢ to 61¢ as oil prices fuel persistent inflation concerns.
SUNDAY, MAY 3, 2026 · 3 stories
Sacramento Kings Fire Mike Brown
Markets crash from 99¢ to 2¢ after the Kings dismissed their Coach of the Year winner Friday.
Coachella 2027 Headliner Race Heats Up
BTS surges to 95¢ while Billie Eilish climbs to 95¢, suggesting traders see dual headlining as likely.
Swift-Kelce Wedding Markets Signal Planning Shifts
Trading volume spikes as bridesmaid odds shift dramatically, suggesting new insider information about the ceremony.
SATURDAY, MAY 2, 2026 · 3 stories
Daft Punk Reunion Fever Hits Coachella Markets
Electronic duo's odds surge to 97¢ from 1¢ as traders price in unprecedented return.
Jon Ossoff Presidential Speculation Defies His Denials
Georgia senator's 2028 odds leap to 67¢ despite explicitly stating "zero interest" in running.
Anthropic IPO Countdown Accelerates to 95¢
AI company's October 2026 listing odds surge as market prices in near-certain announcement.
FRIDAY, MAY 1, 2026 · 3 stories
Women's Basketball Title Odds Crater After UConn Shock
Massive collapses in LSU (99¢→10¢) and TCU (99¢→5¢) suggest their championship runs are over, while USC surges to 68¢.
Drake's 'Iceman' Grammy Nomination Odds Surge +47¢
Traders are pricing in 57¢ odds for Drake's upcoming album to earn Grammy recognition after the artist's previous nominations.
Anthropic IPO Timeline Accelerates as October Odds Hit 50¢
The AI company's IPO odds doubled overnight to 50¢ for an October announcement as funding rounds signal public market preparation.