The market for AGI arriving before October 2027 crept up 9¢ to 45¢, while the slightly earlier July 2027 window gained 8¢ to 38¢. The moves are subtle but significant given the transformative implications. The AI Futures Project recently updated its AGI timeline, concluding that progress toward artificial general intelligence is slower than first forecast, shifting a plausible AGI window to 2029-2032. Yet in the largest survey of AI researchers to date, over 2,700 scientists collectively estimated a 10% chance that AI systems will surpass humans in most tasks by 2027. The quiet accumulation in these markets suggests some traders believe the consensus timeline is too conservative, betting that Sam Altman's estimate of 'a couple of thousand days' and other industry leaders' 3-5 year predictions will prove accurate despite recent academic skepticism.