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Market data as of

DeSantis Gains as 2028 Field Takes Shape

Florida governor climbs to 75¢ despite Vance frontrunner status and Trump loyalty questions.

The market implies DeSantis maintains positioning for 2028 despite current Vice President JD Vance holding early advantages, with sources close to the governor saying he's "watching" and "won't hesitate to run if there's a lane". His surge to 75¢ comes as he's proven "more indispensable to Trump than any Republican outside Washington," helping with immigration enforcement and delivering a congressional redistricting win that could net the GOP four House seats. While polling shows DeSantis at just 8% as an "ideal candidate," 40% of Republicans would consider him as a nominee — competitive positioning as Vance leads with 44% ideal support and 65% consideration. Traders are pricing in his rehabilitation with Trump's base and term-limited status creating campaign availability, even as establishment figures like Rubio emerge as alternatives.

Market data sourced from Kalshi. Odds reflect prices at time of analysis and may have changed.