The market for Iran's next Supreme Leader reflects the mounting certainty of a controversial dynastic succession. Iran's Assembly of Experts elected Ali Khamenei's son Mojtaba as the next Supreme Leader under pressure from the Revolutionary Guards, pushing his odds from 59¢ to 75¢ — the highest volume market on Kalshi Saturday with 147,000 contracts. Starting March 3rd, IRGC commanders pressured Assembly members to vote for Mojtaba with "repeated contacts and psychological pressure," leading eight members to boycott the second session. The market pricing captures the fundamental tension: his ascendancy would create a dynasty reminiscent of the Pahlavi monarchy before the 1979 Islamic revolution, yet his strong links to the Revolutionary Guard Corps make him a significant figure in the power structure. Traders are essentially betting on whether institutional pressure can override ideological objections to hereditary rule.