IPO Market Cools as Valuations Reset
Major tech companies push back public debut timelines amid uncertain market conditions.
The IPO pipeline is experiencing significant delays as high-profile companies recalibrate their public market ambitions. Anduril's odds of announcing an IPO before June 2027 fell from 97¢ to 36¢, while OpenAI's chances of going public before May 2027 dropped from 92¢ to 70¢. OpenAI is targeting a listing as early as Q4 2026, while Anthropic — the AI safety-focused lab backed by Google and valued at $380 billion — is also widely expected to explore a public listing. Anduril's founder Palmer Luckey wants to IPO after proving the company can pull off its Ohio manufacturing timeline, with a plausible IPO in 2026 or 2027 if conditions look relatively strong. The extended timelines reflect companies prioritizing operational milestones over immediate capital access in an uncertain rate environment.
Market data sourced from Kalshi. Odds reflect prices at time of analysis and may have changed.